Under in points is 4-1 over the last five Super Bowls.Since 2000, point total under have hit 12 times to the over’s 11 times.The over has hit in 15 of the 25 Super Bowls with a total of between 40 and 49.5 points. 13 Super Bowls have had a total set at 50 points or higher, with nine of them going under.When the underdog covers the spread in the Super Bowl, quarterbacks have won the Super Bowl MVP award 50% of the time.Five underdog quarterbacks have been Super Bowl MVP with the total going under.In games that the total goes under, only 12 quarterbacks have won the Super Bowl MVP regardless of who covers. Historically, 12 quarterbacks have won Super Bowl MVP when both the total goes over and the favorite covers.That means the 18-point underdog Jets were the biggest underdog winner in Super Bowl history. The Baltimore Colts were 18-point favorites in Super Bowl III but lost to the New York Jets 16-7. The San Francisco 49ers were 18-point favorites against the San Diego Chargers in Super Bowl XXXIX and won 49-26. The largest spread in Super Bowl history is 18 points, having happened twice before.
